• سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
Mohammad Reza Kazemi Najaf Abadi; Mohammad Mahdi Hajian; Ghadir Mahdavi Kelishmi
Abstract
One of the innovations that has been formed in the insurance industry in recent years is transfer the risk to the capital markets. Today, this possibility is provided by issuing insurance bonds and Catastrophe bonds, which are a most important type of insurance-linked securities, can redress inefficiency ...
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One of the innovations that has been formed in the insurance industry in recent years is transfer the risk to the capital markets. Today, this possibility is provided by issuing insurance bonds and Catastrophe bonds, which are a most important type of insurance-linked securities, can redress inefficiency in the insurance industry. On the other hand, traditional insurance solutions to cover the risks of Iran's oil and gas industry is not efficient and sufficient and using CAT bonds to transfer risks of this industry to capital markets is a necessary and inevitable issue. The aim of this research is to identify effective factors for issuing Catastrophe bonds in Iran's oil and gas industry. On this basis and after reviewing the literature through library studies, 33 factors were identified in the form of seven categories, based on the similarities. Then, based on Delphi method, experts were asked to express their opinions through an iterative questionnaire. After take the experts' opinions in every round, the statistics analysis was performed and the Delphi process was stopped in the third round. Based on the results, the number of thirty-two factors in six categories recognized. Also, by using the method of analytical hierarchy process and reusing the opinions of experts, the criteria and sub-criteria were prioritized and in order of preference with the titles Legislation and Amendment of the Rules, Process Management, Transparency, Knowledge Management, Creation and Strengthening of Software Platforms and Cultivation.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Marzieh Asgari; Morteza Khorsandi; Abdolrasol Ghasemi
Abstract
Renewable energies are more compatible with the environment and their preparation and production have less pollution. In addition, since there is no end in sight for this type of energy, renewable energies take on a greater share in the world's energy supply system day by day, even in countries with ...
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Renewable energies are more compatible with the environment and their preparation and production have less pollution. In addition, since there is no end in sight for this type of energy, renewable energies take on a greater share in the world's energy supply system day by day, even in countries with fossil energy. The purpose of this research is to investigate the factors affecting the consumption of renewable energy in OPEC member countries using the panel data approach in the period from 2004 to 2018. In this research, the effects of factors such as good governance index, human capital, intensity of carbon dioxide emission, income (GDP) and crude oil price were investigated. The results of estimating the model using the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS method indicated that the good governance index, human capital, carbon dioxide emission intensity and income (GDP) have a positive and significant effect on the consumption of renewable energy in OPEC member countries, but the price Crude oil has no significant effect on the consumption of this group of energies in the mentioned countries. Factors such as the high cost of establishing renewable industries in OPEC member countries and the dependence of these countries' economies on oil revenues can be considered among the reasons for this result.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Mohamad Sayadi; Habib Soheyli Ahmadi; Razieh Sadat Musavi Khaledi
Abstract
Iran faces several pressing issues, including escalating energy consumption, inadequate price signaling to address consumption patterns, increasing greenhouse gas emissions, and prevailing distributional challenges related to energy subsidies. Consequently, reforming energy carrier subsidies in Iran ...
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Iran faces several pressing issues, including escalating energy consumption, inadequate price signaling to address consumption patterns, increasing greenhouse gas emissions, and prevailing distributional challenges related to energy subsidies. Consequently, reforming energy carrier subsidies in Iran becomes an imperative task. However, numerous obstacles hinder the effective implementation of this policy, presenting substantial challenges. This study employs a comparative approach that incorporates expert opinions and utilizes the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) method with a holistic perspective to evaluate and rank the barriers to energy subsidy reform. The identified barriers are categorized into three groups based on specific criteria: 1) political and social barriers, 2) economic barriers, and 3) institutional and governance barriers. Subsequently, thirteen sub-criteria have been established, considering Iran's economic conditions. The research findings highlight the significance of economic barriers, accounting for 53% weight, followed by political and social barriers with 26%, and institutional and governance barriers with 21%. Notably, among the economic barriers, the high dependency of energy industries on the country's exports and the government's concerns about potential damage to foreign exchange revenues, particularly under sanctions, emerge as crucial factors. Regarding political and social barriers, the prevalent mindset of entitlement among citizens regarding energy subsidies proves noteworthy. Additionally, the lack of a cohesive and reliable database for implementing energy subsidy reform policies assumes utmost importance among institutional and governance barriers. Based on these results, it is imperative for the government to undertake measures encompassing formulation, implementation, and evaluation in all dimensions of energy subsidy reform.
• اقتصاد سیاسی انرژی به ویژه در حوزه خلیج فارس
Mohammad Mehdi Farsi Aliabadi; Yavar Dashtbany
Abstract
Oil production sustainability has always been the primary purpose of producers and consumers. However, achieving this objective turned into a challenge due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks. In this study, the Markov-Switching model has been applied to investigate the impact of economic ...
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Oil production sustainability has always been the primary purpose of producers and consumers. However, achieving this objective turned into a challenge due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks. In this study, the Markov-Switching model has been applied to investigate the impact of economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks on Iran's and Saudi Arabia's oil production. The main results indicated that two regimes, including the ascending and descending regimes. Moreover, the economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks negatively and statistically impact Iran's oil production in both states; these variables similarly influence Saudi Arabia's oil production. According to these results, both countries should reduce the traditional rivalry and detente with each other to reach their long-term goals, such as maximizing their oil production revenue.
• سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
Eshagh Zarrin; Foroozan Baktash; Seyyed Rasoul Aqadavoud
Abstract
This article was done with the aim of presenting the industrial and commercial development model in the country's oil and gas industry in Gachsaran Oil and Gas Company. The current article is an applied-developmental research in terms of its purpose, and it is a survey-cross-sectional research from ...
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This article was done with the aim of presenting the industrial and commercial development model in the country's oil and gas industry in Gachsaran Oil and Gas Company. The current article is an applied-developmental research in terms of its purpose, and it is a survey-cross-sectional research from the point of view of the data collection method. A mixed exploratory design was used to achieve the goal of the research. The community of participants in the qualitative section includes managers with experience of Gachsaran Oil and Gas Company. Sampling was done by theoretical sampling method and theoretical saturation was achieved with 11 interviews. The statistical population of the quantitative part also includes the experts of Gachsaran Oil and Gas Company, which was estimated to be 384 people using Cochran's formula. The required sample volume was provided by simple random sampling method. A semi-structured interview and a researcher-made questionnaire were used to collect data. The basic categories of industrial and commercial development in the country's oil and gas industry were identified by grounded theory method in Maxqda 20 software. The final model was validated by partial least squares method in Smart PLS 3 software. The results have shown that financial and economic indicators affect the development of and managerial capabilities. These capabilities also affect commercialization strategies. In this regard, the legal and political atmosphere of the country provides the necessary platform and the risk-taking of the industry plays the role of an interventionist. Finally, commercialization strategies lead to industrial and commercial development.
• اقتصاد سیاسی انرژی به ویژه در حوزه خلیج فارس
Mohammad Mahdi Najafi; Abbas Memarnejad
Abstract
Among the most important indicators that depend on political-economic-social stability is inflation control; because people's activism has a high tendency towards the stability of inflation; Therefore, gaining political power in societies depends on providing a program to control inflation. The ...
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Among the most important indicators that depend on political-economic-social stability is inflation control; because people's activism has a high tendency towards the stability of inflation; Therefore, gaining political power in societies depends on providing a program to control inflation. The increase in the high inflation rate is associated with macroeconomic instability, increased welfare, unfair distribution of wealth, and a decrease in household purchasing power. Monetarist considers excessive growth of money volume, excess demand in the commodity market, some cost pressure and increase in the price of production inputs, and institutionalists consider structural factors and bottlenecks in various economic and commercial sectors to be the main cause of inflation. Therefore, knowing the factors affecting inflation and providing a solution to control and reduce inflation can lead to socio-economic justice. The components of good governance can also lead to the reduction of inflation through the channel of increasing productivity and improving institutional quality and increasing the effectiveness of monetary and financial policies. This research aims to investigate the factors influencing inflation with an emphasis on good governance in oil exporting countries using the generalized moment method (GMM) in the time period (2011-2021). The obtained results indicate that the inflation break, the difference between GDP growth and liquidity growth had a positive effect and good governance had a negative effect on the inflation rate.
سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
EZATOLLAH TAYEBI; Teymur Mohammadi; morteza khorsandi; abdorasol ghasemi; mohammad sayadi
Abstract
The National Development Fund was established as a development fund with the aim of providing intergenerational benefits, preventing the spread of fluctuations in oil revenues to the economy, and also supporting the country's development plans. Despite this, until now, there has not been a detailed ...
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The National Development Fund was established as a development fund with the aim of providing intergenerational benefits, preventing the spread of fluctuations in oil revenues to the economy, and also supporting the country's development plans. Despite this, until now, there has not been a detailed evaluation of how the allocation of resources of this fund affects macroeconomic variables. However, by studying and examining the successful global models of such funds, in addition to the limited impact of this fund on the macro-economic variables in Iran, there are also flaws in the way its resources are allocated. Based on this, the main goal of this research is to design a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to evaluate the impact of the allocation of National Development Fund resources on macroeconomic variables with the Bayesian estimation approach using quarterly data for the period 2011-2021. The results of the simulation show that if the National Development Fund spends part of its resources on direct and indirect investment, although at the beginning of the period (about one year) its effects are the same as before (only facilities), but after that the level of production, capital and investment will increase, which will lead to higher economic growth. Also, the results obtained from the minimum variance portfolio method show that among the existing methods, buying shares of capital market companies directly and investing in various types of investment funds, can bring higher returns than the current method (facilities) for the Fund at a certain level of risk.
سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
parisa Mohajeri; Reza Taleblou
Abstract
The Probability of Informed Trading (PIN) is one of the important measures of market microstructure that is generally used to estimate the level of information asymmetry. Estimating PIN can be challenging due to boundary solutions, local maxima, and Floating Point Exceptions (FPE). Additionally, the ...
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The Probability of Informed Trading (PIN) is one of the important measures of market microstructure that is generally used to estimate the level of information asymmetry. Estimating PIN can be challenging due to boundary solutions, local maxima, and Floating Point Exceptions (FPE). Additionally, the prevailing assumption of the existence of only one information layer per trading day in PIN is inconsistent with the real-world empirical evidence and exposes it to a considerable underestimation bias. In this paper, we estimate information asymmetry for 55 listed companies in the energy sector during the period from 2017:Q1 to 2023:Q2, utilizing the Multi-Layer Probability of Informed Trading (MPIN) model introduced by Ghachem and Ersan (2023). The findings indicate: First, the assumption of a single information layer is satisfied for only 2.67% of the 1,200 stock/season observations, which implies the necessity of using MPIN to estimate information asymmetry. Second, the use of PIN not only leads to significant underestimation bias, but also provides an inaccurate picture of the ranking of companies from the perspective of information asymmetry. Third, the energy sector faces an average information asymmetry of 34.4%, and estimations reveal that private information reached its peak in the summer of 2020, exceeding 49%. Fourth, the symbols "Bepeyvand" from the electricity, gas, and steam sub-sector and "Shapna" from the refining sub-sector hold the highest (64.75%) and lowest (18.9%) information asymmetry, respectively.
مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
ebrahim bahrami nia; Samaneh Noraniazad; Seyed hosein izadi; Reza Shamsolahi
Abstract
In recent years, the surge in greenhouse gas emissions, environmental degradation, and climate change has emerged as a pivotal concern for environmental planners and policymakers. Given the predominant role of fossil fuels in carbon dioxide emissions, this study focuses on mitigating emissions, particularly ...
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In recent years, the surge in greenhouse gas emissions, environmental degradation, and climate change has emerged as a pivotal concern for environmental planners and policymakers. Given the predominant role of fossil fuels in carbon dioxide emissions, this study focuses on mitigating emissions, particularly in nations with robust fossil fuel economies. The primary objective of this research is to examine the impact of financial development and governance quality on carbon dioxide emissions within oil-exporting countries, utilizing the panel smooth transition regression model spanning the period 2000-2021. The findings substantiate the presence of a nonlinear relationship between financial development and carbon dioxide emissions. Initially, financial development exerts a positive and significant impact on emissions; however, beyond a certain threshold, this effect reverses, becoming negative. Regarding governance effectiveness, many oil-exporting nations wield substantial market influence due to their significant oil revenues. Notably, oil exporting-firms of these countries are predominantly state-owned or quasi-state firms. Their insulation from competitive threats, coupled with a lack of adherence to regulatory frameworks, has resulted in elevated carbon dioxide emissions under both governance regimes.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Mahboobeh Farahati; Leyla Salimi; Mehdi Gholizadeh Eratbeni
Abstract
Lack of security, political affiliations, formation, and upsurge of environmental problems are the most significant reasons for altering the approach of energy supply sources from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. This alteration in approach necessitates a growth in the level of financial support ...
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Lack of security, political affiliations, formation, and upsurge of environmental problems are the most significant reasons for altering the approach of energy supply sources from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. This alteration in approach necessitates a growth in the level of financial support and a rise in the technology level in extracting renewable energies. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of diverse methods of financing renewable energy projects, such as foreign direct investment, research and development expenses, and financial market development on the amount of renewable energy consumption for 26 developing countries from 2008 to 2019. The results of the Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) technique show that foreign direct investment and research and development expenditures have a positive and significant effect on the consumption of renewable energy, while the development of financial markets does not have a significant effect on the consumption of renewable energy. Based on the results, since the defined methods of financing do not have an adverse effect on renewable energy consumption, it is recommended that the government, to guarantee the indicators of the nation's welfare, including environmental quality, put the laws covering these financing methods in the main plan and support.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Yazdan Gudarzi farahani; Zoleikha Morsali Arzanagh; Mohsen Mehrara
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of investment in the renewable energy on Iran's macroeconomic variables. In this regard, statistical information related to the period 1991-2022 was used. For this purpose, the stochastic dynamic general equilibrium method was used. The information ...
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The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of investment in the renewable energy on Iran's macroeconomic variables. In this regard, statistical information related to the period 1991-2022 was used. For this purpose, the stochastic dynamic general equilibrium method was used. The information used in this article was collected from the Central Bank of Iran and the Ministry of Energy. The theoretical framework of the present study will be based on investment models, optimization and inter-sectoral balance. In this study, the effects of investment in the field of renewable energy through public and private companies are included in the model. The results obtained from the investment shock in the field of renewable energy indicated that investment in this sector had the greatest impact on the growth of economic added value in the industry, services, agriculture and oil and gas sectors. Also, the obtained results indicate that in order to increase social welfare and achieve economic development, a 4-year investment period with a 50% growth in the field of renewable energy infrastructure in the country is necessary.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Asghar Vahedi; Esmaiel Abounoori; parviz malekzadeh
Abstract
In this research, the effect of oil price shock on the return of the Iranian stock market has been evaluated using a new quantile-on-quantile approach. To do this, first, the oil price shock has been calculated using the structural vector Autoregression method, then the effect of the oil price shock ...
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In this research, the effect of oil price shock on the return of the Iranian stock market has been evaluated using a new quantile-on-quantile approach. To do this, first, the oil price shock has been calculated using the structural vector Autoregression method, then the effect of the oil price shock on the return of the Iranian stock market has been investigated using the quantile-on-quantile approach. The statistical population consists of the data related to oil variables and the stock price index of the Iranian stock market. The statistical sample includes 200 observations of the monthly data related to the oil variables and the stock price index of the Iranian stock market during the period of 1385: 1 -1401: 12. The results of this research show that the effect of the oil price shock on the Iranian stock market varies across different quantiles of the Iranian stock market returns. A negative oil price shock has a larger effect on stock market returns when the stock market is bullish. Also, in the normal state of the stock market; Positive oil price shock have a large negative effect on stock market returns. Based on these observations, it is concluded that the relationship between oil price and stock market returns can depend on the nature of oil price shocks and the performance of the stock market.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Zinat Goli; Hamid Amadeh; taymoor mohamadi
Abstract
Environmental concerns and global warming have posed a challenge to the continued use of fossil fuels, especially oil. In order to achieve the goal of limiting the temperature increase to below 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to the pre-industrial era, the IPCC has developed scenarios considering the reduction ...
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Environmental concerns and global warming have posed a challenge to the continued use of fossil fuels, especially oil. In order to achieve the goal of limiting the temperature increase to below 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to the pre-industrial era, the IPCC has developed scenarios considering the reduction of fossil fuel consumption and the increase in the use of renewable energy. This issue poses a serious threat to economies heavily reliant on oil exports, such as OPEC. To examine the effects of these scenarios, supply and demand functions for oil were estimated using the VECM model. The findings indicate that the oil supply function has a direct relationship with the real oil price, with a long-term coefficient of 0.1391. Additionally, one percent increase in the production of non-OPEC countries will lead to a 0.7323 percent increase in OPEC oil supply. The price elasticity of demand in the long term is estimated to be -0.077. The elasticity of industrial production in advanced and emerging countries is estimated 0.7756 and 0.6241, respectively. Based on the estimated coefficients, the changes in OPEC supply in the most pessimistic IPCC scenario will be 40% reduction in 2030 and 94% reduction in 2050 compared to 2010.
Farshad Momeni
Abstract
Oil and gas are exhaustible resources and maximizing national benefits in exploiting these resources is very important. In this regard and according to the general policies of the resistance economy of Iran, which emphasizes the endogenous and externally oriented economy, the purpose of internationalization ...
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Oil and gas are exhaustible resources and maximizing national benefits in exploiting these resources is very important. In this regard and according to the general policies of the resistance economy of Iran, which emphasizes the endogenous and externally oriented economy, the purpose of internationalization of the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) has been followed in this paper, which makes it an inclusive institution, optimal allocation of oil dollars also maximizes the intergeneration benefits. This purpose was followed by a historical and social analysis and historical review of rules and contracts of Iran’s oil upstream. by Williamson’s four-level theory, Ostrom's institutional framework and North’s social orders. The participants and institutional environment of the Iran oil upstream were analyzed. Internationalization has never been in the description of the duties of the NIOC, . In order to succeed in the internationalization of the NIOC, it should be focused on the aspect of techno - ware of the Iran's oil upstream, as well as the need for the convergence and support of the government with this purpose and governance reform of Iran oil upstream according to the current conditions of the country's reservoirs and the ability to carry out successful oil operations inside and outside the borders of the country. The first step to build an inclusive institution in the upstream sector of Iranian oil is to convince the extractive institutions benefiting from oil rents that such institutional changes will not reduce their benefits from rents.
• سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
Abbas Memarnejad; sheyda Nematollahi Sarvestani; Teimor Mohammadi
Abstract
The implementation of the mechanism of carbon border adjustments or carbon tariffs as a tool to deal with carbon leakage and reducing the competitiveness of production, was implemented by the European Union in October 2023 under the transitional phase and it will be implemented under the definitive phase ...
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The implementation of the mechanism of carbon border adjustments or carbon tariffs as a tool to deal with carbon leakage and reducing the competitiveness of production, was implemented by the European Union in October 2023 under the transitional phase and it will be implemented under the definitive phase from January 2026. Some countries, including the United States of America and Japan, have also predicted similar policies. This is while developing and developed countries have committed to take measures to combat climate change and reduce carbon emissions based on the Paris Agreement. This shows the concern of countries applying carbon tariffs because of carbon leakage even after the creation of the Paris Agreement. Considering that the European Union has announced that it will first apply carbon tariffs to energy industries, this study uses the GTAP-E model to investigate the change in the amount of carbon dioxide emissions in Iran's industries as a result of the imposing of carbon tariffs by the European Union, the Japan, the United States of America and all regions on Iran's energy intensive industries. The statistical of the research includes 141 regions and 65 section in the GTAP10 data base that published in 2019. The estimation of the model shows that under all four scenarios, the amount of production and carbon dioxide emissions will decrease in the energy-intensive industries sector and the entire industries of Iran.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Seyyed Mohammad Ghaem Zabihi; Rasta Kamalian; Fatemeh Akbari; Ali Akbar Naji Meidani
Abstract
The current study has studied the threshold effects of energy consumption structure and GDP per capita variables on carbon emissions from 2002 to 2019 for 37 selected countries (with middle to high-income levels) using the non-linear approach of Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models. For this purpose, ...
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The current study has studied the threshold effects of energy consumption structure and GDP per capita variables on carbon emissions from 2002 to 2019 for 37 selected countries (with middle to high-income levels) using the non-linear approach of Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models. For this purpose, two separate models have been estimated by considering energy consumption structure transfer and GDP per capita variables. The results indicate a non-linear relationship between the studied variables in both models. The estimation results of both models show that GDP per capita (in the threshold state of energy consumption structure) and energy consumption structure (in the threshold state of GDP per capita) positively affect carbon emissions. Also, urbanization and trade openness have a positive effect on carbon emissions in both models. Thus, the results show that increasing efficiency in energy consumption and GDP per capita structure can significantly reduce carbon emissions. These findings point to the importance of optimizing energy policies and the crucial role of changes in the economic structure in managing greenhouse gas emissions.
Alireza Taghipour
Abstract
With the change in policy by the Iranian Ministry of Petroleum in 2017 to outsource the operation and maintenance of oil and gas units to the private sector, the O&M outsourcing contract framework has drawn more attention than ever.This study first explores the current state of O&M contracts, ...
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With the change in policy by the Iranian Ministry of Petroleum in 2017 to outsource the operation and maintenance of oil and gas units to the private sector, the O&M outsourcing contract framework has drawn more attention than ever.This study first explores the current state of O&M contracts, in conjunction with the laws and regulations, and wraps up that the Ministry of Petroleum has an inherent duty to comprehensively outsourcing these operations to the private sector. The next step points out that the vast majority of Operation contracts, which are always claimed as O&M contracts, are basically manpower contracts.The next step is to categorise these contracts into two categories: independent and integrated. This study divided independent categories into seven categories: manpower, inspection, packaging, KPI packaging, hybrid, and full coverage. In opposed to the current method of making independent O&M contracts in the oil and gas industry, the results showed that optimal O&M outsourcing takes place through integrated contracts in which the operation is a partial part of that contract.Furthermore, a review of the framework of integrated upstream contracts, particularly the Iranian Upstream Petroleum Contract (IPC), and some types of integrated downstream contracts, such as the EPC+O&M and the FIDIC DBO model, conclusively demonstrates that "Build Operation and Transfer" and "Rehabilitate, Operate, Transfer" contracts are one of the most effective methods of outsourcing these operations.
سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
Majid Aghaei
Abstract
One influential factor in this relationship is the abundance of natural resources and its level of dependency. The impact of natural resource abundance on the relationship between financial development and renewable energy technology deployment can vary based on the financial system's development level ...
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One influential factor in this relationship is the abundance of natural resources and its level of dependency. The impact of natural resource abundance on the relationship between financial development and renewable energy technology deployment can vary based on the financial system's development level in different countries. Given the importance of this topic, this study seeks to investigate the influence of financial development on the development of renewable energy technologies in two distinct groups of rich in natural resources countries, characterized by differing levels of financial system development (20 developed resource-rich countries with developed and less developed financial systems, and 25 developing resource-rich countries with developed and less developed financial systems). The examination and empirical testing of this relationship, along with its contributing factors, have been conducted using the Two-Stage Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) Estimators by Arellano and Bond, and Blundell and Bond, over the period from 2000 to 2021. Based on the results, financial development has demonstrated a positive impact on the deployment of renewable energy technologies across all studied countries, underscoring the undeniable role of financial development in renewable energy development. Furthermore, according to the research findings, the abundance of natural resources in resource-rich developed countries has not only led to a reduction in the capacity of renewable energy technologies installation but also has facilitated the deployment of renewable energy technologies, especially in resource-rich developed countries with advanced financial markets.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
Fariborz PARTOVIRAD; Teimor Mohammadi; abbas shkeri; morteza khorsandi
Abstract
Forecasting electricity demand is one of the most important issues of the electrical energy system. Considering the structural changes in electricity demand and the stylized facts of electricity consumption in different sectors of demand, forecasting the amount of electricity demand will clarify the ...
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Forecasting electricity demand is one of the most important issues of the electrical energy system. Considering the structural changes in electricity demand and the stylized facts of electricity consumption in different sectors of demand, forecasting the amount of electricity demand will clarify the prospects of changes in the Iran's electric energy system in the medium and long term. By using new approaches, this prediction will have higher reliability. In this research, using the state-space approach and combining it with Markov regime switching, the main sources of uncertainties were included in the model. By using the data of electric energy feed-in the system to supply electricity demand and the average real price of electricity and temperature and the number of customers in the ten-year period of 2013-2022, the parameters of the model were estimated based on the state-space approach and Markov regime switching. State-space approach in the form of time-varying parameters and Markov switching approach in the form of variance fluctuations were included in the model. The results showed that the model based on this integrated approach gives a more accurate prediction than the classical model of electricity demand. The standard error of the estimated equations is reduced to 0.1 (in the competing model, the standard error of the corresponding equation is 0.03, and in the integrated approach, it is 0.002 for peak and 0.004 off-peak periods). The sensitivity of electricity demand to the real price of electricity and temperature changes is decreasing and the demand for marginal costumer is increasing.
سیاستگذاریهای اقتصادی و مالی در حوزههای فوقالذکر در سطوح ملی، منطقهای و جهانی
musa khoshkalam khosroshahi; zahra moradi
Abstract
Energy is always a widely used input in the production sector and used in the distribution and consumption of many goods and services, which should be used optimally. One of the indicators showing the optimal use of energy input is the energy intensity index. Obviously, the lower the energy intensity, ...
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Energy is always a widely used input in the production sector and used in the distribution and consumption of many goods and services, which should be used optimally. One of the indicators showing the optimal use of energy input is the energy intensity index. Obviously, the lower the energy intensity, it means that less energy has been used for each unit of production of goods and services. Several factors can be mentioned that affect energy intensity, of which innovation is one of the key ones. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to investigate the influence of several factors on energy intensity in selected countries of the MENA region during the period of 2010-2020, with an emphasis on innovation and its two sub-indices (Information and communication technology and Access to finance). To achieve the goal of the research, the panel data model (panel data) for 13 selected MENA countries and the GMM estimation method have been used. The results show that the influence of control variables including "government final consumption expenditure", "energy price" and "trade openness" on energy intensity is negative and significant. The estimation findings of the first model indicate a negative and significant effect of the overall innovation index on energy intensity, and the estimation results of the second and third models also indicate a negative and significant effect of the innovation sub-indices (information and communication technology and financial access) on the energy intensity of the selected countries in the period. is under investigation.
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
reza bakhshi
Abstract
The need for development is increasing and the demand for energy is rising. The construction of new power plants has become necessary to meet this growing demand. To protect the environment and conserve finite fossil fuels, renewable energy sources are crucial to the transition to green energy production. ...
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The need for development is increasing and the demand for energy is rising. The construction of new power plants has become necessary to meet this growing demand. To protect the environment and conserve finite fossil fuels, renewable energy sources are crucial to the transition to green energy production. Examining the impact of energy production on the environment is crucial, and not just in terms of financial, economic and geographical factors. The aim of this study is to understand the contribution of renewable and non-renewable power plants to the total emissions generated over a one-year operating period. The RETscreen analysis software was used to estimate the emission coefficient and a cost-benefit analysis method was used to evaluate the environmental impact. The value of each ton of carbon dioxide and the discount rate for environmental effects are key factors in estimating the emission coefficient of the different energy systems. Renewable energy systems have an emission coefficient of zero, while gas turbine systems, two-way gas engines, two-way biogas engines and coal-fired steam turbines have emission coefficients of 700, 747, 45 and 1,509 billion rials, respectively.
